It’s no question that Nate Oats and Alabama have emerged as one of the top programs in the country throughout the past few seasons.
The 2021 SEC Coach of the Year led the Tide to their first Final Four in 2024, back-to-back Elite Eight appearances in 2024 and 2025, and multiple SEC championships.
Oats guided Alabama to the overall No. 1 seed and a program-record 31 wins in 2023, sweeping the SEC regular-season and tournament titles.
Aside from its coaching success, Alabama puts forth one of the best offenses in the country. KenPom rankings currently have the Tide second overall, and Alabama ranks eighth nationally in scoring offense.
The Tide is led by one of the top scorers in the country. The current SEC leading scorer, Labaron Philon Jr., has emerged as the Tide’s star player as only a sophomore.
He is averaging 21.9 points (eighth nationally), 3.6 rebounds, 5.6 assists (tied for 38th) and is shooting 55.1% from the field.
However, the Tide might have limited minutes from its star player for the matchup, as Philon missed Alabama’s recent nonconference finale on Monday with a minor thigh/groin injury but is hopeful to return for Kentucky, according to Oats.
While no other player is putting up numbers near Philon’s production, the Tide does have other weapons.
Junior Aden Holloway has been a key secondary option, averaging 17.6 points and 4.0 assists per game this season, and he showed his ability in Philon’s absence by tying a career-high 26 points with seven assists in a win over Yale.
While Alabama’s identity is anchored primarily in its offensive success, its defense is also one to watch. Alabama ranks third nationally in blocks per game (6.9), trailing only Georgia (7.9) and Syracuse (7.2).
The Crimson Tide also rank 18th nationally in defensive rebounding, averaging 21 defensive rebounds per game.
Alabama’s interior defense is keyed by forwards Aiden Sherrell and Amari Allen. Sherrell leads the Tide with 3.1 blocks per game, while Allen leads the team with 7.9 rebounds per game.
Kentucky finds its footing:
It feels as if the Wildcats received their New Year’s wish early, as Kentucky has played its past two games with the full depth of its roster for the first time all season.
In games with both Jaland Lowe and Jayden Quaintance on the court, Kentucky dominated in double-digit victories, highlighted by a second-half comeback against No. 22 St. John’s.
That win was fueled by Lowe’s 13-point second half and a near double-double from Quaintance in his first game as a Wildcat, showing off the depth and talent that set Kentucky’s high preseason expectations.
Aside from its depth, Kentucky has simply played better basketball. After a 36-point loss to No. 11 Gonzaga in December, the Cats have since flipped the script entirely and look like a complete team.
Oweh appears to have his spark back. The reigning SEC Player of the Week had a disappointing, underwhelming start to the season.
However, he has recently flipped the script with a stretch of high-performing games, most recently posting a near triple-double in the Cats’ last game against Bellarmine, recording 10 points, 10 assists and eight rebounds.
A sneaky yet important player the Tide will need to look out for is Kam Williams, who is breaking out as one of the most crucial players in Kentucky’s rotation.
Heading into the Cats’ final matchup of 2025, Williams was averaging 5.2 points per game while shooting 40% from the field and contributing 3.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists in limited action.
Against Bellarmine, he delivered the best performance of his career, scoring 26 points — including 18 in the second half — while knocking down eight 3-pointers, six of them after halftime. He shot 80% from beyond the arc and was perfect from the free-throw line.
Saturday’s matchup also marks a return to Tuscaloosa for Kentucky forward Mo Dioubate, who spent his first two collegiate seasons at Alabama. During his time with the Crimson Tide, Dioubate played in 70 games, averaging 7.2 points and 5.9 rebounds last season, and appeared in all 37 contests.
He recorded six double-doubles during the 2024–25 season, led Alabama in rebounding in 10 games and ranked second on the team in offensive rebounds before transferring to Kentucky ahead of the 2025–26 season.
With only one ranked win this season, Kentucky enters the new year searching for a quality victory as it continues to recover from a tough preconference slate and push its way back into the AP Top 25.
What the odds say:
ESPN Analytics currently gives Alabama a 62.7% chance of winning; the spread for the matchup is still TBD.
The Wildcats will open SEC play on Saturday, Jan. 3, inside Coleman Coliseum. Tipoff is set for noon ET and the game will air live on ESPN.




























































































































































