Trump holds on to early lead in Kentucky caucus
March 6, 2016
The Associated Press announced Donald Trump as the winner of the Kentucky Republican presidential caucus, with Sen. Ted Cruz not far behind.
Trump continued his success in the southern states, adding 16 delegates to his total, while Cruz collected 14 delegates. Trump has also won states bordering the commonwealth, including Virginia and Tennessee.
According to the Associated Press, Trump led the field with 35.9 percent of the vote. Cruz cut Trump’s lead in half as the more populous counties came in, holding steady with 31.6 percent, while Florida Sen. Marco Rubio placed third and Ohio Gov. John Kasich placed fourth. Rubio came in at 16.4 percent, with Kasich bringing up the rear at 14.4 percent.
Cruz won Fayette County and most of its neighbors, including Jessamine, Scott, Bourbon, and Madison counties, while Trump secured Woodford and Clark counties.
The breakdown of votes differed from a recent poll conducted by Kentucky Kernel reporter Patrick Brennan, which asked the political opinions of 894 UK undergraduates. Rubio won the highest percentage of surveyed students who said they supported a Republican “at least somewhat,” followed by Trump in second, Cruz in third and then Kasich.
The Republican Party of Kentucky has never held a presidential caucus and, while there were complaints about the new system, voters still got out in greater numbers than expected. For example, 34,184 votes were cast in populous Jefferson County, while just 26,582 votes were cast in the county in the 2012 primary, according to the Courier-Journal.
The caucus was held at the nudging of Sen. Rand Paul, who needed a way to get around state law precluding candidates from being on the ballot twice.
However, Paul exited the race last month, which left him funding an election that he would not compete in. Prior to dropping out, Paul had repeatedly sparred with Trump.
Like other states across the country, the candidates from outside of the political establishment have dominated this race. Trump, the wealthy New York businessman, and Cruz, the Tea Party senator from Texas, combined for more than 60 percent of the overall vote in Kentucky.
Trump’s lead has been buoyed by vote totals from the eastern portion of the state, where he won the Appalachian coal counties by large margins. In Clay County, Trump won 57.9 percent of the vote. However, Cruz performed well in the western part of the state.
Cruz also took a large slice out of Trump’s lead by performing better in urban areas. The Texas senator boosted his total by winning Fayette County by about 600 votes and winning by a significant margin in Boone, Kenton, and Campbell counties. Trump won Jefferson County, home to the city of Louisville, by less than two percent.
All four candidates exited Kentucky with some delegates. In addition to Trump’s 16 and Cruz’s 14, Rubio and Kasich will finish with seven and six delegates, according to the Associated Press.